Luis Garicano 🇪🇺🇺🇦 @lugaricano@respublicae.eu
Unofficial automated mirror. No copyright asserted. ∎ Economist. Back at LSE as a Professor at @LSEPublicPolicy Summer 2023. Non-resident Fellow @bruegel_org. Recovering MEP. Currently @ChicagoBooth.
Joined Apr 2022
Macron: 28.1%
Le Pen: 23.3%
Melanchon: 20%
Zemour: 7%
Las buenas noticias: Macron pasa a la segunda vuelta con ventaja más clara de la prevista
Las malas: los amigos de Putin, populistas, extremos, consiguen la mayoría (un 51%) de los votos.
Mucho miedo a la segunda vuelta
Un libro fundamental para entender los impuestos. Muchas ganas de leer la actualización. ¡Enhorabuena @frdelatorre !
RT @frdelatorre: El próximo 5 de mayo sale a la venta la nueva edición actualizada de ¿Hacienda somos todos? Impuestos y fraude en España. En ocho años han pasado muchas cosas...
RT @FHeisbourg: I'm a good Frenchman who has zero sympathy for the brexiting Mop. But I can only endorse Boris Johnson for his exemplary, gutsy, timely and substantive visit to Kyiv. And bravo for the antiship missiles, armoured vehicles etc. Well done 🇬🇧for 🇺🇦 and indeed Europe as a whole
Continúan las grandes salidas de capital de China. Dos hipótesis:
1) Política: Tras la invasión de Ucrania, los inversores ven a China como riesgo político
2) Económica: COVID, demografía, burbuja inmobiliaria reducen las perspectivas de crecimiento a largo.
RT @RobinBrooksIIF: The longer material outflows from China persist, the more likely it becomes this isn't some data fluke, but a structural break. That structural break could b…
Fantástico, como siempre desde el principio de esta guerra, @JosepBorrellF : " esta guerra se ganará en el campo de batalla" (o sea, no forzaremos a Ucrania a hacer una negociación para ser dividida y subyugada).
Un orgullo que sea nuestro representante.
RT @JosepBorrellF: Touched by the resilience, determination and hospitality of @ZelenskyyUA & @Denys_Shmyhal.
I return with a clear to do list:
1. This war will be won on the bat…
RT @JosepBorrellF: 3. We need to continue to increase our pressure on Russia. We have imposed massive sanctions already but more needs to be done on the energy sector, incl oil.
4.On Monday, I am convening an EU Foreign Affairs Council #FAC to discuss next steps.
See this passage and @ben_moll´s thread to see how implausible price and expenditure share of gas must be in order to get large GDP drops in Germany from a gas ban.
I am frustrated we have not yet been able to communicate this simply (although we are getting close).
RT @ben_moll: Very nice @SVR_Wirtschaft @ngarnadt!
This passage actually nicely shows what a crazy world view one needs to get numbers like the @IMKFlash @SDullien -6%…
RT @ben_moll: Very nice @SVR_Wirtschaft @ngarnadt!
This passage actually nicely shows what a crazy world view one needs to get numbers like the @IMKFlash @SDullien -6% GDP drop.
The gas price increases to 900€/MWh. From an initial 2018 price of ~20€/MWh (see graph). So a 45-fold increase!
@Franmartorell61 No.
RT @jomaoppa: if Wolf of Wallstreet were about crypto...
RT @javierespinosa2: El valiente ejército ruso ha conseguido otra "victoria". Aquí se puede observar el "material bélico" que portaban sus enemigos, abatidos por un misil en #Kramatorsk. A la espera de los habituales palmeros que seguro podrán probar que el carrito del bebé no estaba allí #Ucrania
Eso espero @Mij_Europe . Espero ver a @EmmanuelMacron desenmascarar a esta sinvergüenza sin escrúpulos en las dos semanas de la segunda vuelta. El futuro no sólo de Francia, sino de Europa entera, está en juego.
RT @Mij_Europe: It is going to get much nastier for Marine Le Pen in Round 2 - given all of her obvious flaws
Dear Josep, we are proud of your presence and that of Mme. @vonderleyen . Thanks for being there.
Let's now work together for a fast gas and oil ban to really help stop this war and stop funding Putin. It is feasible and necessary
RT @JosepBorrellF: The free world is in awe of the dignity and bravery of #Ukraine.
Honoured to meet President @ZelenskyyUA in #Kyiv to show Europe’s resolve and commitment to continue supporting Ukrai…
RT @FranciscoIgea: El horror y nuestro silencio. No hay gas que valga tanto sufrimiento
The money keeps flowing to Putin: another oil tanker from Russia arrives in an EU port on Monday, the 11th of April.
Destination: Croatia - Omislj
Ship Name: Nikolay Zuyev
IMO: 9610781
Carrying approx 770,360 barrels of Crude Oil worth an estimated $89M
11/N
Important:
1. @GeorgZachmann: 2/3s of Russian gas imports are being replaced by LNG purchases
2. New @Bruegel_org analysis: gas demand is already down by 7%, almost hlf of what is needed to cover the last 1/3 of Russian gas imports.
The gas ban is necessary and feasible.
RT @McwilliamsBen: 🚨Just out - new analysis with @GeorgZachmann @Bruegel_org in which we estimate that EU Natural Gas demand decreased 7% (about 100 TWh) in Q1.
…
RT @joachim_voth: 80 years of "atoning" for WW2, "never again"... and now leading Europe in selfish irresponsibility and craven indirect support for a genocidal war of aggression... well-played, Germany @Bundeskanzler #Merkel #Ukraine @lugaricano @schnellenbachj
RT @ben_moll: Thank you @MarkusEconomist for having us in your Academy!
For those who missed it, here are our slides https://benjaminmoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/What_If_slides.pdf
and you can watch @DBaqaee and my presentation here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6WQeAJk_390
Another oil tanker from Russia arrives in an EU port tomorrow. The European Parliament has made it clear that this must stop.
Destination: Greece - Kali Limenes
Ship Name: Carmel
IMO: 9308857
Carrying approx 717,625 barrels of Crude Oil worth an estimated $82M
10/N
Estoy muy orgulloso del abrumador apoyo que hemos conseguido para que el Parlamento Europeo exija dejar de importar gas, petróleo y carbón ruso inmediatamente.
Hace unos días parecía que desde @CiudadanosCs estábamos solos pidiéndolo, hoy es la posición del Parlamento Europeo.
Unofficial automated mirror. No copyright asserted. ∎ Economist. Back at LSE as a Professor at @LSEPublicPolicy Summer 2023. Non-resident Fellow @bruegel_org. Recovering MEP. Currently @ChicagoBooth.
Joined Apr 2022
