Luis Garicano 🇪🇺🇺🇦 @lugaricano@respublicae.eu
Unofficial automated mirror. No copyright asserted. ∎ Economist. Back at LSE as a Professor at @LSEPublicPolicy Summer 2023. Non-resident Fellow @bruegel_org. Recovering MEP. Currently @ChicagoBooth.
Joined Apr 2022
@MarianoGuindal Espero que cumpla su objetivo, querido Mariano, y mejoren esos dolores. ¡Ánimo y suerte!
Goldman: Europe has "succesfully solved" the puzzle of how to live without Russian gas, gas prices to drop.
If correct, that settles the score:
- Academic economists (@ben_moll , @BachmannRudi etc.): 1
- Lobbyists desguised as economists and assorted "mass poverty" doomsters: 0
RT @carlquintanilla: Goldman says Europe has “successfully solved” the puzzle on how to face the winter without Russian natural gas. Prices likely to drop …
Mark Hertling, Ex Commanding General of US Armed Forces in Europe and a "must" Twitter follow: 5 days is the maximum an army can remain on the offensive before fatigue sets in-- recommends Ukraine forces stop. Great thread.
RT @MarkHertling: My experience in combat - as well as at our Army's national training center, where we study this - is that units will begin to fail if they aren't rested on day 5 of an offensive.
And commander…
Datos de inflación USA:
- Mala noticia: se extiende la inflación a sectores no energéticos, con subidas en restaurantes, alquileres y coches.
- Buena: las expectativas de inflación caen apuntando a fuerte caida de la inflación en 2023. Ver el gran hilo de
@R2Rsquared
RT @R2Rsquared: If the modern view is right, then US inflation will come down faster with less pain in 2023 than Ball-Mishra-Leigh. Not by luck nor because "team tran…
The main victory of this weekend is political. I was sure that Europe was ready to throw Ukraine under the bus this Winter.
Although there will be those (in Germany and Italy, mainly) that will try, the Kharkiv offensive makes it impossible.
Ukraine has bought itself time
RT @matt_levine: i wonder what percentage of m&a activity is driven by people trying to avoid spending time with their children https://www.ft.com/content/57407389-a4c6-4d93-91c4-014853748540
RT @DmytroKuleba: Disappointing signals from Germany while Ukraine needs Leopards and Marders now — to liberate people and save them from genocide. Not a single rational argument on why these weapons can not be supplied, only abstract fears and excuses. What is Berlin afraid of that Kyiv is not?
Extremely useful thread on the distributional impact of inflation, explaining an empirical paper that sounds like must read.
#econtwitter
RT @NunoGalo: Who are the winners and losers from inflation?
This may seem a well-established issue in Economics, but surprisingly, there is still some confusion among pundits, central bankers, and academics. A short-🧵that I hope clarifies certain issues
RT @Mylovanov: Remember this now infamous NYTimes editorial? That Ukraine must give up and that a Ukrainian victory is not realistic. This is what happens if you write based on stereotypes, not evidence.
RT @BBCRosAtkins: It's been an extraordinary few days in Ukraine. This is the story of how Ukraine's military pushed Russia back - in 4 mins. Produced Michael Cox, Mary Fuller, Daniele Palumbo, Tom Spencer, Joshua Cheetham. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-60525350
Top Twitter again: an F18 flight instructor on why that Su 25 suddenly dropped out of the sky and crashed.
Veredict:human error. Are the Russian pilots tired?
RT @hazman_JD: @TheBaseLeg @RAeSTimR The Lead is to blame at first. Should not turn like that during pair takeoff.
The Wing did not managed to match Lead at tac wing position for unknown reason. Could be Lead fault as well (Lead should go to ‘min AB’ after +ve ROC). And, jet…
@IAPonomarenko Illa please don't make us read this stuff... You are helping her become viral, that is all she wants!
RT @rbmyerson: On Sept 17, I will be in NYC to join @paulkrugman, @JohnEdHerbst, @Mylovanov, @brik_t, @jmurtazashvili, and many others at an event for Ukraine and the Kyiv School of Economics.
Please consider joining us! 🇺🇦Register or donate here: https://kse.ua/ua/events/?eid=9357
This one builds on @timothymfrye´s book on Putin to argue Putin runs a personal autocracy and mobilizing would undermine the base of his power.
?s=20&t=rmogmvkuTyr5XoLIFh1W6Q
RT @phl43: In the debate about why Putin still hasn't mobilized and set up a real war economy, everyone is emphasizing the threat from below it would pose to him, but I think it would also pose a threat from above and, related to both, it would undermine a key p…
Twitter at its best: These two threads make similar points about the limits of Putin's power and why Putin is not mobilizing that are novel, insightful and quite sensible.
I think they are both must read!
Here is the first (and in reply the second)
?s=20&t=rmogmvkuTyr5XoLIFh1W6Q
RT @IlyaMatveev_: Russia is on track to lose the war. Ukraine seized the initiative, has overwhelming manpower advantage, enjoys a steady inflow of weapons …
I also got my ticket. And if you live in NY, so should you! There will be intersting economics, top economists (Krugman, Myerson...), interesting insights on the future of Ukraine and Russia, and you will be able to contribute to a really worthy cause!.
RT @timothymfrye: Great fundraiser organized by Kyiv School of Economics on September 17 in NYC with a terrific list of speakers. I've got my ticket and hope to see you there.
No one outside of Russia understands the situation better than @Kasparov63 . And here is his advice today: do whatever it takes to defeat Putin and help Ukraine.
https://www.kyivpost.com/multimedia/video/interview-with-chess-champ-and-russian-opposition-leader-garry-kasparov
Here for a more accurate take... in Russia! ?s=20&t=ugoG0MVMINNup5dlCl1foQ
RT @lugaricano: This Russian TV talk show offers a fascinating peak into the state of mind of Russian elites. And no, Putin is not so safe any more.
Dear Fox News watchers: when you get more accurate news (and much more positive for Ukraine) from Russian TV talk shows (will put link in reply) than from FoxNews, maybe you need to reconsider what you are watching?
RT @MattGertz: Tucker Carlson's top Russia-Ukraine war expert Douglas MacGregor, on Friday night: "This entire war may be over" soon, "right now things are going very, very badly" for the Ukrainians and they're "desperat…
@jcrg00 Sí, ese el grupo de mis seguidores que (1) puede estar interesado y (2) puede no saberlo. Repertirlo en español no añade, pq ya lo ha dicho medio twitter.
Mira este link (hay varios): https://www.google.com/url?rct=j&sa=t&url=https://www.thenational.wales/news/21275472.spanish-novelist-javier-marias-dies-aged-70/&ct=ga&cd=CAEYACoUMTc0NzEyODczMzQ0NzE2ODU3OTAyHDI1OTA5NmIwMDU4MDIwNTA6Y29tOmVuOlVTOkw&usg=AOvVaw35PjJJdB3XJ-DsI015…
Unofficial automated mirror. No copyright asserted. ∎ Economist. Back at LSE as a Professor at @LSEPublicPolicy Summer 2023. Non-resident Fellow @bruegel_org. Recovering MEP. Currently @ChicagoBooth.
Joined Apr 2022
