Luis Garicano 🇪🇺🇺🇦 @lugaricano@respublicae.eu

7. IRA will make a difference to US emitions. But not enough.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1648485460933742594

6. Paris agreement etc. did make a difference. Worse case scenarios are being avoided. We are on path to a bit over 2 degrees of warming.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1648485457746104321

5. There is no getting around that there will have to be large reductions in emissions from poorer, middle income economies.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1648485454675857409

4. Hugely heterogenous effect of climate change- e.g. as seen on mortality.

Difference is that "red places"- those with big increases in mortality, are where the bulk of population currently live.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1648485450859024390

3. Fossile fuels will not just run out on their own.
On the contrary we are finding oil faster than we can use it:

We had 30 years worth of oil in 1980, 40 years today. Huge reserves of coal and gas.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1648485447948181504

2. Same for cars. Oil prices need to be quite high for EVs to be less costly: you need oil price at €129 for battery powered car to be more economical.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1648485444580151296

Where are we on Climate Change?

Mike Greenstone @UChi_Economics gave a great talk @chicagobooth. I will post a few of his charts.

1. Including battery back-up, cost of electricity from renewables is 3x/4x more expensive than from fossil fuels.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1648485441547689984

Can we pause the development of Artificial Intelligence?

Oppenheimer and Bohr would probably be skeptical.

Oppenheimer (reflecting on the Atomic bomb)

"deep things in science are not found because they are useful, they are found because it was possible to find them"

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1648369793450536961

RT @pietgaricano: this book is astonishingly good... the praise speaks for itself

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1648343633702297602

RT @I_Am_NickBloom: Summary of our new paper measuring the rise of hybrid and remote work in the US, UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand at https://wfhmap.com/

With @raffasadun, @pj_lambert, @StephenEKHansen, @Bledi_Taska and Steve Davies

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1648324953463193603

RT @bopanc: Around 45% of Germany's power comes from fossile fuels, 33% from coal.
Current technology can't power an economy the size of Germany solely with renewables.
But despite commitment to combating climate change, Germany makes itself dependent on fossile fuels.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1647991717906337795

RT @CEP_LSE: Maths support online,
Disadvantaged students gain,
Grades and hope increase.

Online tutoring works: Experimental evidence from a program with vulnerable children
By @lucas_gortazar @claudiahupkau & @toniroldanm

Read: https://cep.lse.ac.uk/_NEW/PUBLICATIONS/abstract.asp?index=9999

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1647973099898281985

What a policy debacle. Putting national security, climate, and human health at risk to satisfy a fetish.
RT @_HannahRitchie: Share of electricity from coal (Germany vs. its W. European neighbours)

🇩🇪 Germany: 31%
🇳🇱 Netherlands: 13%
🇩🇰 Denmark: 11%
🇬🇷 Greece: 10%
🇮🇹 Italy: 8%
🇮🇪 Ireland: 7%
🇪🇸 Spain: 3%
🇬🇧 UK: 1.9%
🇫🇷 France: 1%
🇦🇹 Austria: 0.2%
🇵🇹 Portugal: 0.1%
🇧🇪🇳🇴🇸🇪 Belgium, Norway, Sweden: <0.1%

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1647960340217339904

Maravilloso artículo de @gascondaniel sobre la normalización del odio como principal punto del programa político de Podemos (y otros populistas).
RT @gascondaniel: Tú a pelearte y yo a cobrar https://www.elperiodicodearagon.com/opinion/2023/04/16/pelearte-cobrar-86053119.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=btn-share

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1647669444339015680

RT @AlecStapp: Hard to believe that Germany is shutting down its last nuclear power plants and restarting coal plants — switching from one of the safest energy sources to the deadliest.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1647600461447409667

SF's epic failure despite natural beauty, tech supremacy and top universities is the ultimate triumph of ideology over reason.

I hope Chicago's new mayor is paying attention.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1647306332251324417

RT @carlbfrey: New paper comparing GPT-3.5 & GPT-4 performance on college physics problems.

It shows that in just a few months, AI has made a leap from the 39th to the 96th percentile of human level performance.

Now imagine were it will be in 10 years.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1647287448211267586

Lauch of Starship (the rocket that may take us to Mars) is on Monday!

Also best proof of how insidious social media is: the richest person in the world, single handedly driving space exploration AND electrification, chasing the validation of strangers on Twitter.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1647277450890559491

RT @fernandosols: La peor gestión económica de la pandemia y su recuperación, relativo al resto de países de la UE.

Especialmente grave si tenemos en cuenta que hemos sido uno de los mayores receptores de fondos europeos.

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1646928858116161536

Extremely fast development of primitive autonomous agents: AutoGPT. Fix a goal, AI will figure out how to accomplish it. The downside risks (and upside as well) are evident.
RT @emollick: Autonomous AI agents are already here.

I used one experimental model, AutoGPT, and let it analyze the market for simulations, setting its own goals. Right now, the AI is prone to distraction & confusion, but you can see how it might soon work (the system is only a week old).

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/lugaricano/status/1645931324186955777