RT by @lugaricano: I'd like to respectfully point out that the logic in this argument is based on a flawed model for how scientists think. Scientists don't just take a weighted average of others' opinions to form their own.

A good scientist takes as input lots of data, including others' opinions, and then ultimately has to reason, build their own internal model of the world, and draw their conclusions from that model.

I give your opinion a lot of weight. And, after having heard many opinions including yours, my internal model tells me that there is essentially no risk of AI human extinction.

So I don't follow the logic that because @ylecun or anyone else disagrees with you (and other AI extinctionists, which IMO are in the minority) that they gave your opinion very little weight, unless we think scientists arrive at conclusions by taking a weighted average of what everyone else thinks.

Since you've gone against the grain many times in your own career -- often brilliantly so -- I assume you're also familiar with what it feels like to give someone's opinion weight, but then ultimately to draw a different conclusion!

🐦🔗: https://nitter.cz/AndrewYNg/status/1728195950886482124#m

[2023-11-24 23:36 UTC]