Something like this seems inevitable -- but not as a nose-thumb to the US, but rather because the US will be so busy with China that Europe will have to deal with the continuing threat from Russia more on their own.
https://geopolitique.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Note-de-travail-10-avril-EN-1.pdf
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1658904554379829248