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3/9 He very probably cannot achieve a military victory. His army is getting weaker morale-wise, material-wise and otherwise, whereas Ukraine is getting stronger all the time. He understands this and tries to win with mass and quantity and by attrition.

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

2/9 Mr Putin is the kind of person who refuses to lose. His broader mentality and his current state of mind make it impossible for him to stop the war without a victory.

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

1/9 Predicting is difficult. Especially predicting the future. I will make an attempt here and explain the assumptions on which the prediction is based.

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

@Kimmo_Kautio Edustaako Kimmo kadyrovilaista koulukuntaa, jonka mielestä on jo aika käyttää rauhanpommia ukroppien taltuttamiseen, vai maltillista patrushevilaista näkemystä, että jatketaan nykyisellä sapluunalla niin kauan kuin vanhaa rautaa riittää varastossa?

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

@MatsUotila @Juha_the_Great @Dimmu141 Eikö Yle kehunut Dimmua putinistien metsästäjäksikin?

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

@JereHokkanen2 @BrokenPoet22 There is no one else to negotiate with at the moment, but negotiating with Mr Putin is useless and harmful for the reasons I listed in the thread.

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

5/5 We should cease to recognize Mr Putin and his regime as legitimate actors. We did not negotiate with ISIS, we should not negotiate with Mr Putin. This is both a moral and a practical (see 2, 3, 4) matter.

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

4/5 By letting Mr Putin and his cronies perform at institutions like the UN and sabotage their functioning, we not only normalize the regime but also abnormalize and cripple the institutions in question.

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

3/5 On the other hand, by treating him in a "normal" manner we normalize his actions, especially in the eyes of his domestic audience. Scholz and Macron making phone calls to him increase his size and significance. International media reporting his speeches give them gravity.

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

2/5 The general argument is that it is good to keep channels open and leave room for a diplomatic solution.

This has not worked very well. Mr Putin has been given every opportunity to back down, stop the war, negotiate, deescalate.

He will not do that.

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

1/5 For seven months, the West has treated Mr Putin with relative respect despite his being a genocidal tyrant, terrorist and war criminal. We talk to him, listen to him, pay attention to his speeches and declarations, and sit down with his cronies (like Mr Lavrov).

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

@jounisnellman @alexstubb @iltalehti_fi Kiukuttaako Jounia, kun rintamalta tulee pelkkiä huonoja uutiZia?

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

@Kimmo_Kautio Olen samaa mieltä. Älkää äänestäkö niitä, jotka tukevat Putinin sotaa.

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

2/2 Jotkut ovat ostettuja, toiset yksinkertaisia, kolmannet ideologisista syistä vieraan isännän asialla. Kaikki ovat yhtä käyttökelpoisia Kremlin valtiaille ja yhtä vaarallisia Suomelle.

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

1/2 Neuvo ja toive suomalaisille: Älkää äänestäkö kaasuputkimiehiä ja -naisia päättäviin elimiin.

Tällä hetkellä ei ole muodikasta kantaa Putinilta saatuja prenikoita rintapielessä, mutta eivät ihmisten taipumukset ja perusominaisuudet muutu.

is.fi/politiikka/art-200000909

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

@garrythedo @SaskaSaarikoski Päivittyvä uutisseuranta koostui pitkään pääasiassa Venäjän ulko- ja puolustusministeriöiden sekä Peskovin tiedotteiden julkaisusta. Venäjä "ilmoitti" ja "tiedotti", Ukraina "väitti".

🐦🔗: nitter.eu/Halla_aho/status/157

@garrythedo @SaskaSaarikoski Hesari tykitti koko kevään ja kesän sitä viestiä, että pakotteet eivät toimi ja että Euroopan oma sietokyky loppuu aivan juuri.

hs.fi/paakirjoitukset/art-2000

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