Media highlights study by @tom_krebs_ on impact of Gas embargo.
Its methodology is embarrassing, as @ben_moll explains:
1. Get 1.6% impact
2. Multiply by 5 (!) based on Fukushima. Problem: there were 3 simultaneous shocks: electricity, TSUNAMI, nuclear.
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RT @ben_moll: .@tom_krebs on a gas import stop: 1.6%*5 = 8%.
Only the 1.6% is @tom_krebs own number. The factor of 5 is from a totally different study …