The by now famous study of @BachmannRudi @DBaqaee @christianbaye13 @kuhnmo @andreasloeschel @ben_moll @APeichl Karen Pittel @ifo_Institut @MSchularick: the GDP impact of an estimated 30% shortfall of gas supplies is at 0.5% to 3%.
25 March 2022
https://voxeu.org/article/what-if-germany-cut-russian-energy