From ex-CIA officer @Mpolymer, who knows what he's talking about.
https://themessenger.com/opinion/forget-about-those-faulty-timelines-for-ukraines-success
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673725950352138240
Simply a fantastic essay on Russia by @MacaesBruno
https://www.newstatesman.com/world/europe/ukraine/2023/06/ukraine-knew-wagner-mutiny
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673752615601971210
Estonia has relatively few public holidays. One is Independence Day, another Midsummer's Day.
The former is 24 February, when Putin invaded Ukraine. The latter, 24 June, when Wagner mutinied.
The next public holiday is 20 August, when Estonia re-established independence. 🤔
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673705157282988032
In the past two weeks Russia has announced two major exports to Belarus:
1. Nuclear missiles
2. Yevgeny Prigozhin
I wonder whether they meet up.
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673705680232931329
This⬇️🤦♂️ https://n.respublicae.eu/michaeldweiss/status/1673574501555089408
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Michael Weiss: A study in dualities. Western reporting suggests the U.S. thinks Kyiv is moving slowly and struggling in Ukraine; but now it also tell us the U.S. asked Kyiv not to do anything over the weekend that might have hastened the fracturing or collapse of Russia.
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🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673714947929391107
A cottage industry of Russian pro-military bloggers, called voenkors, wants more war than Putin can deliver. After the Wagner insurrection, they will only intensify, writes @Alexey__Kovalev for @newlinesmag https://newlinesmag.com/argument/inside-the-world-of-russian-war-reporters-demanding-more-blood-than-the-kremlin-can-deliver/
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673715931921391616
Huh?
Navalny team big-wig calls on the West to help mass murdering thug and war criminal Prigozhin.
This does not help the "liberal" cause.
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Соболь Любовь: The USA, the EU, the UK and the entire civilized world! Tie China's hands!
Prigozhin is your counterpart now. I, Lyubov Sobol, am telling you this! And the Russian people.
China is not your partner, but we are, crazy Russia.
Fix the mistakes of the 90s, of the Crimea and of… https://n.respublicae.eu/i/web/status/1672668534348947457
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🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673434439131463680
This indeed is the real question⬇️ https://n.respublicae.eu/20committee/status/1673341076600500225
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John Schindler: Asking whether the Wagner pseudo-coup was "real" or fake" reflects Western binary and linear thinking, which Chekists avoid. A better question, that one that anyone who knows Russian/Soviet (and especially KGB) history must ask, is: Were coup plotters read onto the full plan?
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🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673346837833564168
In this brief period when Wagner is in disarray, wouldn't it be prudent and smart to go after them in Africa and Syria?
Just asking.
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673243078168125440
In what non-developing country, non banana republic would:
the president, prime minister, defense minister, chief of the military, the minister of the interior, the president's security council, security "organs"...
All remain silent for two days after an attempted coup?
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673223239714107392
She says all the things CEE was brow-beaten, derided and "shamed" not to say.
These truths did not comport with the 30 years of Kumbaya we just lived through.
Silence was what allowed Merkel to do NS2 after Crimea and Obama to do nothing.
Three decades of delusion.
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Dénes Törteli 🇪🇺🇭🇺🇺🇦: Ukrainian deputy defence minister Hanna Maliar: "We should not repeat the mistakes of our enemies. They got involved in this losing war because they underestimated us and did not understand our mentality.
We have to fight them taking into account:
- that they have an advantage… https://n.respublicae.eu/i/web/status/1673030451768832000 https://t.co/hHDiOvYull
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🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673226641596731392
AKA old Stock Footage.
Released for the first time since the mutiny.
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NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦: Russia released footage of Shoigu for the first time since the mutiny of Prigozhin. “Inspecting” something. https://t.co/nKJe2d9YvW
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🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673230027092099073
⬇️⬇️⬇️
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Alec Luhn: Putin “was nowhere to be found” yesterday when Kremlin officials were desperately trying to negotiate with Prigozhin, Meduza sources say.
Prigozhin demanded to talk to the highest level, so they had to turn to Lukashenko https://meduza.io/feature/2023/06/25/putina-ne-bylo-nigde
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🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673023328016056327
The Coup Is Over, but Putin Is in Trouble - The Atlantic https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2023/06/putin-russian-coup-over-prigozhin-wagner/674522/
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673028762223489025
‘It was an emotional day’: calm returns to Moscow after Wagner stand-down https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/25/it-was-an-emotional-day-calm-returns-to-moscow-after-wagner-stand-down?CMP=share_btn_tw
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673045165701836800
Many, indeed a clear and overwhelming majority of analyses here and elsewhere have concluded Putin lost too. Lost credibility, stature, authority with his Indecisiveness and absence.
This is all probably true.
Yet he still has tools that date at least back to Ivan Grozny: 1/2
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673058388257775620
Re Terror, repressions, arbitrary arrests, all to induce learned helplessness in the population.
We wonder how people themselves taken to the Gulag can still idolize Stalin?
Terror works. PMCs may share the monopoly on violence. But Putin still holds the monopoly on state terror.
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/IlvesToomas/status/1673060735486705671
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