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Some of the @HoansSolo ideas shared with @WarintheFuture in his latest piece.
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Michael Kofman: Insightful thread by Franz from a recent trip. Will share my own thoughts in a bit.
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

That may not happen in time. Too many Ukrainians will die and this is a political as well as moral issue. Russia has a hideous advantage. Putin doesn’t care how many die. Ukraine does. Zelenskyy and Zaluzhnyi have both said so. This is where we get to freezing the conflict. The… n.respublicae.eu/i/web/status/
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Tymofiy Mylovanov: Imagine how things would have changed if Ukraine were given sufficient weapons and were allowed to fight without restraints!
Russia would have been pushed back out of Ukraine.
So let’s have it happen. Let’s stop being afraid of escalation and back the right course. 15X
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

The battle to adapt to Russia's evolving war tactics is essential if Ukraine is to emerge victorious - ABC News
⁦@WarintheFuture⁩ "The adaptation battle is one the Ukrainians must win if they are to emerge victorious in this war” abc.net.au/news/2023-07-18/rus

🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

This is very concerning.
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The Kyiv Independent: ⚡️Military: Russia concentrating forces, on offensive in Lyman-Kupiansk direction.
Russia has "more than 100,000 personnel, more than 900 tanks, more than 555 artillery systems, 370 MLRS" in the Lyman-Kupiansk direction, according to the Eastern Military Command's spokesperson.
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

One message. "One thing that annoys me is that after the first time, the competent authorities swore that ordinary people have nothing to fear, that now combat dolphins, medusas, shrimps and plankton guard the bridge 50 hours a day. F**k, how did that happen? !!!!!! Did they… n.respublicae.eu/i/web/status/
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Anton Gerashchenko: Russian tourist chats are full of panicked Russians who did not get the vacation they desired.
I've translated some of their posts below.
"Important information for those who are going to get out of Crimea by land route. The most important thing is to stock up on the necessary… n.respublicae.eu/i/web/status/ t.co/HT5A9eG1nu
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

Re @MarkGaleotti has another take on this.
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Anders Åslund: Are we missing the essence of the Russia-Ukraine war?
We are waiting for the Ukrainian Armed Forces to break through the Russian front and recover Ukrainian territory, but perhaps the real drama is elsewhere.
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

Opinion: Biden Has Weakened Russia, But Will Not Enable a Win
Also I personally wonder if the US and Russia might use NATO membership as a bargaining issue. Ukraine may have to agree given the loss of life. 😢
A depressing scenario by @MCTothSTL
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Mark Toth: ➡️My latest w/ Col. @JESweet2022, US Army (Rtd.) at the @KyivPost.
Weakening Russia, long the stated U.S. goal since the opening months of Putin's war in Ukraine, is not nearly enough.
Biden &amp; his national security team must go for the win. Period.↖️
kyivpost.com/opinion/19509
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

War fatigue is 'setting in' - and the West has a 'fundamentally different approach' to Ukraine news.sky.com/story/ukraine-rus
Confirming your piece in @KyivPost @MCTothSTL
"NATO may also be withholding membership options in case Ukraine continues to make little progress in its… n.respublicae.eu/i/web/status/

🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

Excellent analysis by @MarkGaleotti Author of "Putin’s Wars" (read it)
The dangers of dashed expectations because of inadequate analysis might rebound on Ukraine.
This is not a PlayStation game. It’s RealPolitik
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Mark Galeotti: This is a particularly bad take, epitomising a dangerous kind of triumphalism that also does Ukraine no favours. A short thread 1/
Take away Russia’s nuclear weapons – for Putin is finished and his country may soon collapse telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/1
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

💔Don’t leave your pet alone to die. Just don’t.
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The Dalbo Dog: Even if it's hard, it's important 🙏❤️🙏
It turns out pets also have last wishes before they d.i.e, but that's only known to vets who euthanize old and sick animals Twitter user Jesse Dietrich asked a vet what the hardest thing about his job was.
The specialist replied without… n.respublicae.eu/i/web/status/ t.co/CskjV9FWLC
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

Maybe he didn’t meet them in the first two weeks of July? Occam’s Razor
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Jonathan Eyal: Not a word about Romania. The leaders in Bucharest simply don't exist for Zelenskyi
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

Re @PhillipsPOBrien Newsletter
An often missed factor in the Ukraine/US relationship.
"If the Biden Administration somehow decided to backtrack on support, it would look both vain and supercilious. Thankfully it didnt"
open.substack.com/pub/phillips

🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

And yet in the usual catastrophic inconsistency those Starlinks that are everywhere…..

🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

Someone is extensively leaking information to terrorist Girkin/Strelkov. Why?
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Dmitri: Girkin says Ukraine has a chance to break through the occupiers' defence in Zaporizhzhia due to a lack of equipped and trained reserves for Russia. He revealed this in an hour-long livestream. The excerpt from a 10-minute intro is below, while the 2-minute video is a short… n.respublicae.eu/i/web/status/ t.co/ftC4UzYuJl
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

One of the last Novids! One lesson is that taking hot showers with a fever is dangerous. In fact bathrooms are quite risky! I seem to remember @Liz_ORiordan using a stool in the shower when dizzy from chemo? Good idea.
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Bob Wachter: Until this week, I remained a NoVid, which I chalked up to being fairly cautious, fully vaxxed &amp; a bit lucky.
This week my luck ran out. My case is a cautionary tale, particularly for the “just a cold” folks. Mine definitely was not...I literally have scars to show for it. (1/22)
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

Have you listened to Geopolitics Decanted by Silverado yet? Check it out here: podcast.silverado.org/episodes
Patrick Gray with @DAlperovitch @KofmanMichael and @RALee85 in Ukraine.
A reality check about a grim war. Personally I wonder if an ending ranges between hellish and almost… n.respublicae.eu/i/web/status/

🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

THIS!
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TRG: 12. You know the feeling when you see someone else masking in a store and you feel less alone? You're that person for someone else.
5/
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

Yes. The psychoanalyst Wilfred Bion (elaborating on Keats) called it "negative capability"
There are many kinds of psychotherapists. All of them need this one capacity.
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Dr. Aaron Balick: Probably one of the greatest skills I’ve learned from being a therapist and have been able to integrate into my own life is the capacity to be ok with not knowing for extended periods of time.
The paradox is that that, in itself, is a form of knowing.
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🐦🔗: n.respublicae.eu/NChildersMEP/

Listen to A Small Stubborn Town Audiobooks | Audible.co.uk
An extraordinary lyrical book by @AndrewWJHarding following the events and real people Voznesensk in Ukraine at the beginning of the war. All the more compelling for that. audible.co.uk/search?keywords=

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