🧵 In my keynote at #CSD2023 on Ukraine’s Path to Victory, I asked: how to end this war?

My answer in short: the faster Putin understands he has made a mistake, he will not reach his objectives and won’t be able to break Ukrainians, the sooner this war ends. 1/

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/kajakallas/status/1658072938933780480

Longer answer: for victory there are conditions and policies we need to pursue.

To begin with, as President @ZelenskyyUa says, freedom must be armed better than tyranny.

Arms, ammunition, training – they all must continue at a scale sufficient for Ukraine to win the war. 2/

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/kajakallas/status/1658072941773438976

However, it’s not only battlefield success that will decide the outcome of the war.

We must show the Kremlin it cannot outlast Ukraine and the free world economically.

So, Ukraine’s victory also depends on our ability to dry up the Kremlin’s income to finance aggression. 3/

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/kajakallas/status/1658072945434976258

For lasting peace in Europe, we need accountability. Without this, Russia’s cycle of violence will never stop.

Taking responsibility is the basis for a society to have a future. It's the basis for breaking the cycle of aggression. 4/

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/kajakallas/status/1658072948895260673

Until that’s not the case, we must prepare for the worst. Life next to a pariah state has a cost.

We need to adapt and strengthen our own defence and security.

Stability in Europe is secured by a geopolitical EU and by NATO that’s able to defend Europe militarily. 5/

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/kajakallas/status/1658072951831293954

We also need to end grey zones in Europe. Grey zones fuel conflicts and invite dictators to invade.

It has become clear that for peace in Europe, we need Ukraine in NATO and the EU. 6/

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/kajakallas/status/1658072954813440003

The Kremlin sees liberal democracy as its biggest enemy.

The focus is currently on conventional war. Rightly so – the aggressor must be defeated on the battlefield.

But Russia is also waging a war against our democracies – energy war, information war, cyberwar. 7/

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/kajakallas/status/1658072958886092801

We in Estonia, at the frontline of democracy, have long been aware of Russia’s hybrid tactics.

They try to influence political and social choices. They aim to undermine trust both within and between societies. One of Russia’s goals is to undermine unity between Allies. 8/

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/kajakallas/status/1658072962157740032

Russia is a pariah state that needs to be isolated. You can't interpret it via a democratic lens.

There's no room for appeasement or flirtation with business as usual.

Half-baked solutions are dangerous. Our joint pressure against Russia must increase, not decrease. 9/

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/kajakallas/status/1658072965093761025